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Wednesday, January 9, 2013

Why Christie Should Run As A Democrat

A new poll of 1,100 registered voters by Public Policy Polling ("PPP") last week gives major clues as to Chris Christie's strange embrace of President Obama the week before the election.  As a nationally prominent Governor, you can bet Christie did confidential, internal polling and if those results match the results from PPP, you can see why his leftward turn would make sense politically.

Did you know that Chris Christie:
  • Has the highest favorable/unfavorable rating with independent voters (52 favorable, 18 unfavorable, 30 not sure, +/- margin 3%);
  • His second highest favorable/unfavorable rating is with Democrats (52-23-25);
  • Does WORST among Republicans (48-27-26);
  • Does the best among voters identifying as "somewhat liberal" (60-18-21)
  • Does as well among voters self-identifying as "very liberal" as those who are "very conservative" (45-31-24 vs. 45-29-27)
  • Is beloved by so-called "moderate" voters (57-18-25);
  • Does the WORST among Hispanic voters (40-35-26), best among whites (52-21-27) and pretty well among black voters (46-27-28);
  • Does the WORST among voters under age 30 (33% unfavorable);
And perhaps most tellingly:
  • Obama voters had a more favorable view of Christie (54-19-26) than Romney voters (48-28-26).
The question, to be left for pundits, is whether these preferences reflect ideology or governing style.  Nonetheless, the polling data indicate that Chris Christie's base is certainly left-of-center.

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