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Tuesday, February 22, 2011

Housing to Zero? Shiller Sees Up to 25% Drop

The latest monthly Case-Shiller Home Price Index data for the 20 largest metropolitan areas show a 1 percent monthly drop in December 2010 from November 2010. However, comments from Robert Shiller are noteworthy. Shiller stated during a conference call that he sees "a substantial risk" of a 15 to 25 percent decline from current levels.

Such a drop would mean that average home prices would have declined by approximately one-half from their 2006 highs on a peak-to-trough basis.

Eric Dixon is a New York lawyer, strategic analyst and crisis management consultant. He can be reached at


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